burningtheta
Earnings·March 19, 2026·4 min read

Micron Crushes Q2 With Record $23.9B Revenue

Micron reported fiscal Q2 earnings of $12.20 per share on $23.9 billion in revenue, crushing estimates as AI memory demand accelerates.

ET

Emily Thompson

BurningTheta

Micron Crushes Q2 With Record $23.9B Revenue

Micron Technology delivered fiscal second-quarter results Wednesday that blew past every estimate on the Street. The numbers weren't just good—they were historic.

Revenue hit $23.86 billion against consensus expectations of $20.07 billion. Adjusted earnings came in at $12.20 per share versus the $9.31 analysts had modeled. Revenue nearly tripled from $8.71 billion in the year-ago quarter and jumped 75% sequentially from last quarter's already-elevated levels.

This was the quarter that proved the AI memory supercycle is real and accelerating.

The Numbers in Context

We previewed this report noting that expectations were high. Wall Street wanted $19 billion in revenue with gross margins around 68%. Micron delivered $23.9 billion with gross margins of 74.9%.

That margin expansion tells the real story. Gross margin was 57% last quarter and 38% a year ago. The improvement reflects pricing power that memory bulls have been betting on—when every AI chip needs high-bandwidth memory and supply is constrained, Micron can charge more.

Net income climbed to $13.8 billion from $1.58 billion in the same quarter last year. That's not a typo. Profits increased nearly ninefold.

Where the Growth Came From

Cloud memory revenue rose more than 160% to $7.75 billion. Mobile and client jumped to $7.71 billion from $2.24 billion. Every segment contributed, but the AI-adjacent businesses drove the acceleration.

High Bandwidth Memory remains sold out through 2026. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said on the call that HBM demand "continues to outpace our ability to supply" and that the company is working to expand capacity as fast as equipment constraints allow.

Conventional DRAM pricing has softened in consumer electronics. But HBM commands premiums that more than offset any weakness elsewhere. The mix shift toward AI workloads is fundamentally changing Micron's profit profile.

Forward Guidance

Management guided fiscal Q3 revenue to approximately $33.5 billion. That's up from $9.3 billion in the year-ago period—implying growth exceeding 200%.

The guide suggests the momentum isn't slowing. If anything, it's accelerating. Mehrotra attributed the step-up to "an increase in memory demand driven by AI, structural supply constraints, and Micron's strong execution across the board."

Fiscal 2026 full-year estimates will need to come up materially. The Street had been modeling around $90 billion in annual revenue; the run rate now suggests something north of $110 billion is achievable.

What It Means for the Sector

Samsung and SK Hynix are also supply-constrained on HBM. The entire memory industry is benefiting from AI infrastructure buildout. But Micron's execution stands out—the company has gained share in HBM while maintaining discipline on conventional DRAM.

The results validate the memory supercycle thesis that Bernstein and other bulls have pushed for months. Memory isn't just cyclical commodity anymore. When AI demand sets the pace, pricing stays elevated and margins expand.

For semiconductor investors broadly, Micron's quarter reinforces that AI spending remains robust despite macro uncertainty. The Fed held rates steady Wednesday with a hawkish tilt, and oil prices continue pressuring the economy. But companies building AI infrastructure aren't cutting back.

Stock Reaction

Shares rose 3.2% in after-hours trading to $476.50. The stock had already run up 4.5% Tuesday in anticipation—the pre-earnings move now looks justified.

At current prices, Micron trades at roughly 10x forward earnings based on updated estimates. That's a discount to Nvidia and AMD despite similar revenue growth rates. The valuation gap may narrow as investors recalibrate to the new profit trajectory.

Options activity heading into the print was bullish. Implied volatility had priced in a 9% post-earnings move; the initial reaction suggests traders who bought calls will collect.

The Bigger Picture

Memory has historically been a boom-bust business. Prices surge when supply is tight, then crater when capacity catches up. Bulls argue this cycle is different because HBM production is technically challenging and lead times are long. Expanding supply takes years, not quarters.

Micron's results support that view. But the company still needs to prove it can maintain these margins as competitors ramp capacity. Samsung has announced aggressive HBM expansion plans. SK Hynix is investing heavily.

For now, demand growth is outpacing supply additions. As long as that dynamic holds—and as long as AI infrastructure spending continues—Micron's profit trajectory looks secure.

The quarter wasn't just a beat. It was a statement that AI has fundamentally changed the economics of memory manufacturing. For traders looking for earnings momentum, Micron just delivered the best print of the season.